Sharon wins Israeli election

JERUSALEM -- Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, who has taken a hard line against the Palestinian uprising, won a crushing victory in Israel's election Tuesday, and TV projections showed his Likud and other hawkish parties easily winning most seats in parliament.\nThe prospect of progress on the Palestinian front now appears to depend on whether Sharon can form a coalition that will include the opposition Labor party, which campaigned on a pledge to restart peace negotiations with the Palestinians.\nAmram Mitzna, who led Labor to its worst defeat in history, has so far ruled out joining a Likud-led government, and he reiterated that stance Tuesday after congratulating Sharon on his victory. Still, Sharon was expected to issue an impassioned call to Labor to enter an alliance.\nEven without Labor, Sharon is expected to face difficulties in forming a stable government from the myriad political and religious factions, especially amid the turmoil of the Palestinian uprising.\nDespite unrelenting violence with the Palestinians and a crippling economic crisis, Likud won 36 seats in the 120-member parliament -- up from 19 seats in the outgoing Knesset, according to Israel TV's exit poll. The bloc of rightist and religious parties that support Sharon's tough stance against the Palestinians won 70 seats overall, the TV said.\nPerhaps the big winner was Yosef "Tommy" Lapid, a pugnacious journalist-turned-politician who heads the Shinui Party, which has vehemently opposed joining any coalition with religious parties. Shinui was projected to emerge as the third largest with 15 seats. The Yugoslav-born Lapid, 71, called on Mitzna and Sharon to join him in a "secular unity government" excluding religious parties.\nOnce-dominant Labor, which called for a speedy pullout from most of the West Bank and Gaza, won only 18 seats, compared to 26 in the outgoing parliament, the TV said -- a reflection of Israelis' anger at the failure of a decade's peace efforts with the Palestinians which the party led.\nThe TV poll was based on interviews with voters at 90 polling stations and had a 1.5 percent error margin. Two other TV networks ran similar projections based on phone polls which showed the same trends with slightly different results. Partial returns were expected to trickle in overnight, with final results by Feb. 8.\nThe projections were greeted with dismay by Palestinians. Cabinet Minister Saeb Erekat said they show "Israelis are preparing themselves for more violence and escalation, not for a peace process."\nThe vote was Israel's fourth national election in seven years, and only 68.5 percent of the 4.7 million-strong electorate cast ballots, the lowest-ever participation in a Knesset election. The campaign failed to ignite excitement, both because Sharon's victory was considered inevitable and because Israelis have despaired of a quick fix to the bloody and debilitating conflict.\n"I hope this will be the last time we will have elections in the next four years," Sharon said as he cast his ballot at a Jerusalem high school. No Israeli government has served a full four-year term since 1988, and Sharon's coalition survived less than two years.\nSharon was elected several months after fighting erupted, in a landslide over Labor's Ehud Barak, who had offered the Palestinians a state in Gaza and more than 90 percent of the West Bank. Negotiations fell apart over the fate of Palestinian refugees and Jerusalem.\nSharon rescinded Barak's offers and has boycotted Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat, convincing the U.S. administration he should be replaced. The Palestinian Authority and its economy have been largely crushed, and Israel too has suffered: Tourism collapsed, the economy contracted, inflation and unemployment shot up.\nSharon has kept Israeli troops in Palestinian cities and towns for months, saying they will remain until Palestinian attacks have been stopped and the militants crushed.\nSince Sunday, Israel's security forces barred Palestinians from entering Israel in an effort to prevent terror attacks -- but violence flared in the Palestinian areas, where seven Palestinians were killed.\nThree died in a powerful explosion at a Gaza City house late Monday. Palestinians claimed an Israeli helicopter fired a missile; military sources asserted a Palestinian bomb exploded prematurely in the building. In the West Bank town of Jenin, troops shot dead four Palestinians in battles Tuesday, Palestinian hospital officials said. The army said troops fired on armed men in a series of clashes.\nThe killings pushed the death toll since September 2000 to 2,071 on the Palestinian side, compared to 720 on the Israeli side.\n"Visitors may wonder how after two such bitter years people prefer Sharon," wrote commentator Nahum Barnea in Yediot Ahronot. "When things are tough people stick to the familiar … They'll do so until there is a miraculous improvement or until it gets so bad that they can no longer stand Sharon's non-solutions."\nLabor was undermined by other factors as well, including the deep antipathy of two key groups: Among Sephardim, the half of Israel's Jews with Middle Eastern roots, many still hate Labor for their treatment in the 1950s, when Labor-led governments were seen as favoring European Jews with subsidies and jobs; and among the 1 million Russian immigrants, the left is widely associated with communism.\nLabor also had trouble selling itself as an alternative because of its 20 months as Sharon's junior coalition partner, before it bolted in November.\nAt the time, polls predicted a victory for Likud. But its lead was cut down by scandals, including allegations of vote-buying in the primary for Knesset candidates and reports of a $1.5 million loan by a South Africa-based businessman to Sharon's sons to help repay improper contributions to a past campaign.\nThe investigations could dog Sharon in coming months -- but electorally, he appears to have ridden out the storm.\n"I think Sharon did better than anyone else would have done," said Eli Cohen Zedek, 40, a voter in Jerusalem. "I think that with the right coalition to guide him, we will be okay."\nIn coming days, Sharon is expected to be asked by President Moshe Katsav to form a coalition, a complex task that he must complete in 42 days.